- The market will not make a V bottom. We're not going to panic and capitulate. It will be a grinder where rallies get quickly sold and selloffs get quickly bought. I expect a lot of 1-2 day rallies that fade quickly. Also a lot of sharp short covering rallies, many which will be fueled by Euro rumors.
- 1330 is a big barrier, and is a good spot to attempt short positions. I feel more comfortable shorting this market than going long it, but I will take small stabs at longs if we test 1280-1285 support zone.
- The dollar is strong because the euro is weak. But as I've said many times in the past, the dollar is a deeply flawed currency, more than the euro. They are all a bunch of muppets feeding the desires of the financial markets. I wouldn't be surprised if we got at least 2 QE announcements this year, one from the ECB and one from Banana Ben.
- Intraday volatility remains surprisingly low for such a weak market, which is the reason the average trader is not scared. This is the lowest volatility correction that we've had since the bottom in 2009. Not a good sign for bulls.
- The fast money is now short. You have to think like a short seller to anticipate moves. Short sellers are closing out positions ahead of the long weekend.
Friday, May 25, 2012
Recent Market Action
Information gained on this market this week.
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