Friday, September 3, 2010

Crude Divergence

Crude oil is massively underperforming the equities this week.  I haven't studied up on the times when we've had these kind of divergences, but it does send a warning. 

The market is hanging in there better than I expected, but from a daytrading perspective, the buyers seem to be more urgent to get long early in the day than usual.  From a longer term perspective, there needs to be more than bearish sentiment to keep driving this rally.  It takes a few months for the macro weakness to filter down to corporate earnings.  I wonder if INTC's warning is just the first sign of the wave. 

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