Wednesday, October 26, 2011

MF Global

The octopus of the European debt has reached MF Global.  MF Global is a fragile firm, it nearly blew up in 2008 because of a rogue trader who got squeezed short in wheat futures.  They are leveraged to the gills to make up for their low margin business.  It is a crisis only if you are weak, and MF Global should have gone bust a few years ago, now the market wolves are going after it again.  I don't think they'll let the prey live this time. 

I bring this up because as much as the stock market has squeezed higher, the sovereign debt yields haven't come in.  And we still have that Greek monkey that's still on the market's back.  We don't have a crisis, its just a long squeeze on PIIGS debt holders.

Now that the so-called "scary" event is out of the way, the hesistant will dip their toes into the water, right when we're about to top out.  It is getting closer to the time to position short for the big whack lower.  It will come out of the blue like it always does.

3 comments:

alexnewbee said...

I just searched for that old story. are you sure they were short? the story came out at 9th of dec. 2008. when I look at the chart of wheat, if you were short basically any time from summer, you made tons of money. it did though pop up starting at 8th of dec.
what are the MF Global doing now? any news on them?
reg. markets - think time to short will be today or tomorrow. just watching now. but all this BS news is just a cover. well, business as usual.

Market Owl said...

It was in March 2008, there was a big short squeeze in July 2008 CBOT wheat futures in the winter of 2008.

alexnewbee said...

ok. ic then..