Tuesday, October 4, 2011

Fakeout

The bottom seekers were waiting in the wings for the market to rally in the final 30 minutes and they piled in.  Watch for them to pile out when we get the gap down tomorrow.  Yes, I am getting a gap down signal.  There was very little panic this morning, or at the lows in the afternoon.  It was a massive short squeeze and it will just set up a bigger drop next week.  The faster we bottomed, the better for the market.  But delaying capitulation is only going to build up the selling power for a bigger thrust lower.  I now believe we will hit SPX 1040 by next week.

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

I hope you are correct.

Anonymous said...

Do you recall 2008. It is trading just like it now. Really no upside followthru on big squeezes besides maybe a gap up.

Anonymous said...

Today looks just like 8-9-11 (previously low until today). If they're using the same script, down big tomorrow.

Anonymous said...

short term low is in. i would not short here rest of the week until payroll # assuming we go up until then.

MM111 said...

no gap down :(