Friday, May 13, 2011
More Downside to Come
We have completed an 8 day consolidation between 1355 and 1325. All signs point toward a resolution towards the downside. The commodity bulls are sticking steadfast to their positions. Looking at the speculative length in energy, grains, S&P and Nasdaq futures, and non dollar FX, this liquidation will take longer to play out. The fast money went a few steps too far and are scrambling to get their risk under control. Perhaps another week or two should finish the job. I don't expect a rocket ride higher either. It should be a lengthier consolidation for commodities than previous ones. Equities should bounce back quicker because I see much less fast money in that space.
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