I am not expecting a V bottom this time. I do think the bottom is coming soon but we'll probably trade at that bottom range for at least a week or two. I am basing this on the lack of volume and fear, along with the uncertaintly about the effects of the end of QE2. So there is no rush to get long, because I don't see this market making a V bottom and running away higher like last time.
P.S. Next layer of support is between 1275-1278 on the ES, which is the Egypt bottom. I do expect the bulls to make a stand there. It might be good for 15 to 20 points.
Monday, June 6, 2011
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