Crude oil is massively underperforming the equities this week. I haven't studied up on the times when we've had these kind of divergences, but it does send a warning.
The market is hanging in there better than I expected, but from a daytrading perspective, the buyers seem to be more urgent to get long early in the day than usual. From a longer term perspective, there needs to be more than bearish sentiment to keep driving this rally. It takes a few months for the macro weakness to filter down to corporate earnings. I wonder if INTC's warning is just the first sign of the wave.
Friday, September 3, 2010
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