Thursday, August 5, 2010
Shallow Pullbacks
From a purely technical perspective, it is bullish. The market is not dipping much and when it does, the dips are quickly swallowed up and the market floats higher. I can't imagine the nonfarm payrolls report to lead to a big selloff. I see the most likely scenario being a quick dip on a slightly below consensus number and then the market rallying into the close and making new highs for this rally up to 1135. The other scenario I could see is the market squeezing higher on an above consensus number and then peaking during the middle of the trading day and then fading a bit into the close. In either case, I think we will likely go higher from current levels.
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I was able to sell relatively high in the early part of the day, but at the end of the day, I decided to buy back at a lower price. If we drop, at least I didn't absorb the full drop. I hope we a surprise good news tomorrow.
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