Who are the idiots that sell at the close and buy back at the open 10 handles higher? We have been getting a lot of these gap ups out of the blue after the previous session had intraday weakness. The pre-sellers have done their work and now it will be light trading ahead of the midterm elections and the Fed. There is a very good chance that the Fed will meet market expectations and that should cause a selloff for at least 1 day. So I will likely look to add short exposure before the meeting looking for immediate weakness after the announcement. But I don't think that weakness will last long, probably not even past this week.
Could we rise on the news announcement? It is possible, but I would only have believed that if we had traded stronger the past 2 weeks. We've only gone sideways, so I believe it goes lower on the good news.
No one is trading right now except HFT's. They are required to close out positions before the close and do not take overnights.
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